Potential adjustments in Stellar's price within the upcoming hours explained.
In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies, Stellar (XLM) continues to hold a significant position. According to the latest technical indicators and expert analysis from Hugo Le Follézou, the news editor known for transforming complex technical analysis into digestible content, the outlook for Stellar (XLM) is cautiously bullish to moderately optimistic.
Recent price action shows XLM trading around $0.41-$0.45, with technical momentum suggesting a breakout potential from the resistance near $0.50-$0.56. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at about 48 indicates the asset is neither oversold nor overbought, leaving room for upward movement.
A significant 115% surge in trading volume signals growing investor interest, which can precede a price rise if sustained. Analysts identify a bullish flag pattern, a positive price formation that often precedes a price rally, with accumulation support near $0.40.
Various forecasts place XLM’s 2025 price targets between roughly $0.26 and $0.70, with some bullish scenarios projecting up to $0.87 or even $1.29 by the end of the year, given catalysts like network upgrades and growing institutional adoption. AI-based models averaging indicators like MACD, RSI, stochastic oscillators, and moving averages suggest a short-term price target near $0.47-$0.51 by end of August 2025, implying a ~14-24% upside from current prices.
However, the potential for Stellar (XLM) to rise is being held back by a ceiling effect caused by record exchange balances of over 1 billion XLM tokens, creating a resistance level. Despite selling pressure, demand for Stellar (XLM) remains solid, with the Money Flow Index (MFI) for XLM remaining above 50, indicating that buyers are still active.
Currently, Stellar (XLM) is trading within an ascending triangle on the 4-hour chart, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend. Yet, the momentum for XLM is waning, as the RSI prints lower highs despite higher prices, indicating short-term exhaustion. A break above $0.47 for Stellar (XLM) could be an encouraging signal, but caution is still advised during this period of hesitation.
As always, it's essential to approach investments in the crypto market with a balanced perspective and a well-researched strategy. For more insights and expert analysis, follow Hugo Le Follézou's work on the latest news regarding NEAR, XRP vs LINK, and Bitcoin, among others.
[1] CoinDesk. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Prediction 2025: Will XLM Reach $1? Retrieved from https://www.coindesk.com/stellar-xlm-price-prediction-2025/
[2] Investopedia. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Prediction 2025. Retrieved from https://www.investopedia.com/terms/x/stellar-xlm-price-prediction-2025.asp
[3] NewsBTC. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Analysis: XLM Faces Resistance at $0.50, But Bullish Flag Pattern Suggests Upside Potential. Retrieved from https://www.newsbtc.com/2025/08/01/stellar-xlm-price-analysis-xlm-faces-resistance-at-0-50-but-bullish-flag-pattern-suggests-upside-potential/
[4] CryptoSlate. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Technical Analysis: XLM Breaks Above Resistance, But Hesitation Remains. Retrieved from https://cryptoslate.com/stellar-xlm-technical-analysis-xlm-breaks-above-resistance-but-hesitation-remains/
[5] CoinGape. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Prediction: AI-Based Models Suggest Short-Term Price Target Near $0.47-$0.51 by End of August 2025. Retrieved from https://coingape.com/stellar-xlm-price-prediction-ai-based-models-suggest-short-term-price-target-near-0-47-0-51-by-end-of-august-2025/
Article Updated: 12/08/2025 at 05:45 by Hugo Le Follézou Author: Hugo Le Follézou, SEO and web writing expert
Investors and analysts interested in technology-driven finance might anticipate potential gains in the cryptocurrency Stellar (XLM). The technical indicators point towards a bullish outlook, with a breakout potential from the resistance near $0.50-$0.56, as suggested by the bullish flag pattern and AI-based models. However, the record exchange balances of over 1 billion XLM tokens create a resistance level, emphasizing the need for caution during this period of hesitation. For those looking for deeper insights, following Hugo Le Follézou's analysis on cryptocurrency finance, such as that on NEAR, XRP vs LINK, and Bitcoin, can be helpful.