Intense selling could lead to an additional 27% drop for PUMP assets
The PUMP.fun [PUMP] token, launched on Solana, experienced a brief surge to $0.0067 on Tuesday, 15 July, but has since fallen by 56%. As of late July 2025, PUMP trades roughly between $0.0028 and $0.0053, with recent lows near $0.0037 and lower price predictions around $0.0029 for 2025.
The token's current outlook is bearish to neutral, with significant volatility and selling pressure since its successful July 2025 Initial Coin Offering (ICO). The ICO raised nearly $600 million in minutes, making it one of the most successful of mid-2025. However, despite early enthusiasm and high trading volumes, PUMP suffered a 37-69% price decline within weeks, driven by early investor sell-offs and increased competition from rivals like LetsBONK.
The technical indicators and price action highlight intense bearish pressure in the short-term. The CMF (Capital Volume Oscillator) was below -0.05, indicating greater capital flows out of the PUMP market. The 1-hour price action revealed a sizeable fair value gap at $0.0034-$0.0038 after the drop on 23 July. A potential price bounce would run into significant resistance at this area.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) formed a hidden bullish divergence but did not bounce meaningfully higher. At the time of writing, this gap had not yet been filled. The OBV (On Balance Volume) trended downwards, highlighting greater selling pressure on the PUMP token.
The lack of an airdrop plan has hurt sentiments and could potentially drive the PUMP price down by up to 27%. The heavy selling pressure on PUMP tokens has been attributed to early investors cashing out early due to the tokenomics, with 33% of the total supply of PUMP tokens released on the first day.
The weakness across the crypto market, including a drop in Ethereum [ETH] price and $190 million worth of liquidations in 24 hours, has negatively impacted PUMP prices. The market structure remains strongly bearish.
Looking further ahead, price forecasts vary. Optimistic projections linked to a possible 2026 crypto bull run and meme coin resurgence expect PUMP prices around $0.00845 to $0.0107 by end of 2026. More conservative or bearish forecasts from trading platforms suggest smaller gains to about $0.0031 in 2026 and $0.0037 in 2030, reflecting a more modest long-term growth trajectory.
In summary, the PUMP token faces short-term downward pressure and consolidation after a strong ICO launch and initial spike. Its long-term outlook depends heavily on overall crypto market conditions, competitive positioning in the memecoin space, and successful delivery of new token utility and revenue features. While a bull market in 2026 could spur significant gains, current fundamentals and technicals suggest caution with potential further downside or price stagnation if demand fails to increase substantially.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice. Always conduct thorough research before making any financial decisions.
[1] Source: CoinMarketCap [2] Source: CoinGecko [3] Source: Glassnode [4] Source: TradingView
- Despite raising nearly $600 million in minutes during its Initial Coin Offering (ICO), the PUMP.fun [PUMP] token, launched on Solana, has shown significant volatility and selling pressure, with current trading ranges between $0.0028 and $0.0053.
- The technical indicators suggest bearish pressure for the short-term, as indicated by the CMF, RSI, and OBV, which show greater capital flows out of the PUMP market, a hidden bearish divergence, and downwards trending selling pressure on the PUMP token, respectively.
- The lack of an airdrop plan and heavy selling pressure from early investors have negatively impacted the PUMP price, potentially driving it down by up to 27%.
- The overall crypto market conditions, competitive positioning in the memecoin space, and successful delivery of new token utility and revenue features will heavily influence the PUMP token's long-term outlook. A potential bull market in 2026 could spur significant gains, but current fundamentals suggest caution due to the potential for further downside or price stagnation if demand fails to increase substantially.
